During the fourth quarter of last year, many housing experts predicted home prices were going to crash this year. Here are a few of those forecasts:
“I expect housing prices fall 10% to 15%, and the housing prices are accelerating on the downside,” said Jeremy Siegel, Russell E. Palmer Professor Emeritus of Finance at the Wharton School of Business.
“Buckle in,” said Mark Zandi, Chief Economist at Moody’s Analytics. “Assuming rates remain near their current 6.5% and the economy skirts recession, then national house prices will fall almost 10% peak-to-trough. Most of those declines will happen sooner rather than later. And house prices will fall 20% if there is a typical recession.”
And from Goldman Sachs: “Housing is already cooling in the U.S., according to July data that was reported last week. As interest rates climb steadily higher, Goldman Sachs Research’s G-10 home price model suggests home prices will decline by around 5% to 10% from the peak in the U.S. … Economists at Goldman Sachs Research say there are risks that housing markets could decline more than their model suggests.”Continue Reading