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Market Trends

Real Estate News

New era at the Fed: Warsh confirmed as Chair

May 14, 2026

Kevin Warsh was confirmed by the Senate on May 13 as the new chair of the Federal Reserve, replacing Jerome Powell. Warsh previously served as a Fed governor from 2006 to 2011 and will now lead the central bank during a period of ongoing inflation concerns, economic uncertainty, and debate over future interest rate policy.

While the President has pushed for lower rates, the Fed has so far kept rates steady this year after several cuts in late 2025. Some Fed officials have warned that rising inflation and higher energy prices could still require tighter policy if inflation does not continue easing.

For interest rates, Warsh’s leadership adds uncertainty to the outlook. The Fed chair does not set rates alone, but markets will closely watch whether the Fed becomes more supportive of future rate cuts or remains cautious about inflation. If inflation continues to cool, mortgage rates could gradually move lower later this year. However, persistent inflation or rising energy costs could keep rates elevated longer.

Filed Under: Market Trends Tagged With: Federal Reserve, Kevin Warsh

A ‘Complicated’ Economy:
Why Buyers Are Hesitating in 2026

May 1, 2026

A “Complicated” Economy—Why Buyers Are Hesitating in 2026

The U.S. economy is sending mixed signals right now, and that uncertainty is shaping buyer behavior in a big way. According to Lawrence Yun of the National Association of Realtors, the economy is neither booming nor in decline—it’s somewhere in between.

On paper, things look strong. The S&P 500 has reached record highs, and unemployment remains below 5%. But beneath those headlines, consumer confidence has dropped sharply. Job growth has slowed, and concerns about artificial intelligence and political division are making many Americans uneasy.

Yun describes this as a “K-shaped economy,” where some households are doing well while others are feeling financial pressure. That divide is creating hesitation—especially when it comes to major decisions like buying a home.

This helps explain why the housing market hasn’t seen the surge many expected. Even when mortgage rates briefly dipped earlier this year, buyers didn’t jump in at the levels predicted. The reality is simple: confidence matters as much as affordability.

The takeaway? Today’s market isn’t stalled — it’s cautious. Buyers are watching, waiting, and weighing their options more carefully than in past years.

Filed Under: Market Trends Tagged With: Economy, Interest Rates

Mortgage Rates, Fed Moves & What’s Next for Housing

May 1, 2026

Mortgage Rates, Fed Moves & What’s Next for Housing

Mortgage rates remain the biggest driver of today’s housing market — and expectations have shifted.

Earlier forecasts suggested rates might average around 6 percent this year. Now, projections are closer to 6.5 percent, with the potential to reach 7 percent if energy prices stay elevated. Global events, particularly rising oil prices, are playing a major role in keeping rates higher.

Even so, Lawrence Yun, chief economist of the National Association of Realtors, does not expect a return to the extreme mortgage rates of past decades. Today’s economy is more energy efficient, which helps prevent the kind of spikes seen in the 1970s.

Meanwhile, the Federal Open Market Committee is under pressure to act. With possible leadership changes at the Federal Reserve, there is growing speculation that interest rate cuts could happen later this year. Yun suggests a potential 50-basis-point cut this summer, though timing will depend heavily on inflation trends.

So what does this mean for the housing market?

Home sales started the year slower than expected, leading to a revised forecast of about 4 percent growth instead of the originally projected 14 percent. Still, demand hasn’t disappeared—it’s just more sensitive to rates and economic uncertainty.

The bottom line: this is a market driven by timing, but not in the way many think. Trying to predict the perfect moment may not be as important as being prepared when the right opportunity appears.
In today’s environment, readiness — not perfection — is what wins.

Filed Under: Market Trends Tagged With: Federal Reserve, Interest Rates

Don’t Wait for the ‘Perfect’ Mortgage Rate

April 28, 2026

Mortgage rates have been easing since late March, and that means more buyers will come back into the market. While it’s tempting to wait for rates to drop further, the reality is they move unpredictably — and small changes rarely make a big difference in affordability.

Waiting can actually cost more. As rates fall, buyer demand increases, leading to more competition, fewer homes, and potentially higher prices. A slightly lower rate won’t help if the home you want becomes more expensive or unavailable.

The smarter approach is to focus on readiness. If your finances are in place and you’ve found the right home, locking a rate gives you certainty and allows you to move forward with confidence. And if rates drop later, refinancing is always an option. Plus, there’s plenty of inventory right now, so it’s a good time to find most of what’s on your home buying checklist.

Bottom line: don’t try to time the market — be ready to act when the opportunity is right.

Filed Under: Market Trends, Tips for Home Buyers Tagged With: Interest Rates

Mortgage Rates Drop Slightly

December 18, 2025

Mortgage Interest Rates

The 30-year fixed rate mortgage (FRM) averaged 6.21 percent as of December 18, 2025, down slightly from last week when it averaged 6.22 percent, according to the Freddie Mac. A year ago at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 6.72 percent.

“The average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage has remained within a narrow 10-basis point range over the last two months,” said Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s Chief Economist. “With rates down half a percent over last year, purchase applications are 10% above the same time one year ago.”

The 15-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 5.47 percent, down from last week when it averaged 5.54 percent. A year ago at this time, the 15-year FRM averaged 5.92 percent.

Filed Under: Market Trends Tagged With: Interest Rates

Real estate is still the best long-term investment

July 2, 2024

Real estate is still the best long-term investment

With all the headlines circulating about home prices and mortgage rates, you may be asking yourself if it still makes sense to buy a home right now, or if it’s better to keep renting. Here’s some information that could help put your mind at ease by showing that investing in a home is still a powerful decision.

According to the experts at Gallup, real estate has been crowned the top long-term investment for a whopping 12 years in a row. It has consistently beat out other investment types like gold, stocks, and bonds. Just take a look at the graph below – it speaks volumes:Continue Reading

Filed Under: Home Ownership, Market Trends Tagged With: Home Equity, Home Prices, Interest Rates, Investing

What’s next for home prices and mortgage rates?

May 20, 2024

What’s Next for Home Prices and Mortgage Rates?

If you’re thinking of making a move this year, there are two housing market factors that are probably on your mind: home prices and mortgage rates. You’re wondering what’s going to happen next. And if it’s worth it to move now, or better to wait it out. The only thing you can really do is make the best decision you can based on the latest information available. So, here’s what experts are saying about both prices and rates.

1. What’s Next for Home Prices?

One reliable place you can turn to for information on home price forecasts is the Home Price Expectations Survey from Fannie Mae – a survey of over one hundred economists, real estate experts, and investment and market strategists.

According to the most recent release, experts are projecting home prices will continue to rise at least through 2028 (see the graph below):Continue Reading

Filed Under: Market Trends Tagged With: Home Prices, Interest Rates

Is your house on a Buyer’s Wish List this holiday season?

November 20, 2023

Is your house on a Buyer’s Wish List this holiday season?

This time every year, homeowners who are planning to move have a decision to make: sell now or wait until after the holidays? Some sellers with homes already on the market may even remove their listing until the new year.

But the truth is, many buyers want to purchase a home for the holidays, and your house might be just what they’re looking for.

“ While a majority of people take a step back from the real estate market during the holiday months, you may find when the temperature drops, your potential for a great real estate deal starts to rise,” according to Fortune Builders.

To help prove that point, here are four reasons you shouldn’t wait to sell your house.

1. The desire to own a home doesn’t stop during the holidays. While a few buyers might opt to delay their moving plans until January, others may need to move now because something in their life has changed. The buyers who look for homes at this time of year are usually motivated to make their move happen and are eager to buy.

“Anyone shopping for a new home between Thanksgiving and New Year’s is likely going to be a serious buyer,” reports Investopedia. “Putting your home on the market at this time of year and attracting a serious buyer can often result in a quicker sale.”
Continue Reading

Filed Under: Market Trends, Tips for Home Sellers

3 myths that are hurting home buyers and sellers

July 15, 2023

Myths about today's market that are hurting buyers and sellers

There’s no denying that it’s a tough market, with challenges for both buyers and sellers. But myths and misconceptions floating around about this market and what’s going to happen next aren’t making things any easier.

So what, exactly, are those myths and misconceptions, and why are they incorrect? Here are some of the common myths in today’s housing market that are hurting both buyers and sellers, including:

Myth 1: Owners with low mortgage rates will never sell.

Many buyers that purchased a home a few years ago locked in record low interest rates on their mortgages. And with interest rates significantly higher today, there’s a belief that those homeowners will never give up their low interest rates and sell. But the truth is, there are a ton of life circumstances that could force a person to list and sell their home — like a new job, growing family, or change in their financial situation — no matter what kind of interest rate they have on their mortgage.Continue Reading

Filed Under: Market Trends Tagged With: Home Equity, Home Prices, Interest Rates

Are home prices going up or down? That depends…

June 12, 2023

Are Home Prices Going Up or Down? That Depends…

Media coverage about what’s happening with home prices can be confusing. A large part of that is due to the type of data being used and what they’re choosing to draw attention to. For home prices, there are two different methods used to compare home prices over different time periods: year-over-year (Y-O-Y) and month-over-month (M-O-M). Here’s an explanation of each, and why it’s important to consider the differences:

Year-over-Year (Y-O-Y):

  • This comparison measures the change in home prices from the same month or quarter in the previous year. For example, if you’re comparing Y-O-Y home prices for April 2023, you would compare them to the home prices for April 2022.
  • Y-O-Y comparisons focus on changes over a one-year period, providing a more comprehensive view of long-term trends. They are usually useful for evaluating annual growth rates and determining if the market is generally appreciating or depreciating.

Continue Reading

Filed Under: Market Trends Tagged With: Home Prices

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Russ Fortuno, Associate Broker

I'm a Southern Arizona native and Quail Creek resident. Whether you’re buying or selling a home in Quail Creek, you’ll experience unsurpassed service and professionalism at all stages of your real estate transaction. I welcome the opportunity to assist in your next home sale or purchase.
Meet Russ

Tierra Antigua Realty

18745 S. I-19 Frontage Rd., Ste. A105
Green Valley, AZ 85614
(520) 333-0446
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